Every year, CentERdata publishes labor market forecasts for the Dutch Ministry of Education, Culture and Science. These forecasts provide insights into the supply and demand for teachers on a national level, and thus on possible shortages for teachers.
The forecasts are produced using Mirror: a microscopic simulation model in which choices of all employees working in education are modelled and simulated. This is done on the level of individuals, which makes it possible to study resulting outcomes in more detail.
The reports that are made on a regional level contain information for every labor market region in the Netherlands. Among other things, the reports contain information on the current age distribution, expected demand for replacement personnel (such as the outflow), and the expected intake. They also provide insight into the expected development of shortages if policy remains unchanged, and a comparison is made with the national average. In the regional reports for secondary education, this information is also presented according to the subject taught, giving insights in, for instance, the expected shortages for math teachers.
More information on Mirror can be found on mirrorpedia.nl (in Dutch only).
Recent forecasts, regional reports as well as other publications created using Mirror can be found on mirrorpedia.nl/publicaties (in Dutch only).