Will there be enough teachers in the future to meet the demand? And what will these teachers cost? These and many similar questions are the order of the day for the Ministry of Education, Culture and Science (OCW), sector councils, education unions and school boards. We perform a lot of research in this field, drawing up prognoses and evaluating policy.
We apply a variety of approaches. We use a self-developed micro-simulation model (Mirror) to model personnel and financial developments on the education job market using data from payroll administrations.
We use Mirror for, among other things, the reference estimates and ‘Integral Counting of Education Personnel’ (IPTO). In the IPTO project we collect data on the subjects taught and with the Radon project we contribute to the reference estimations.
We make the Mirror results available to school boards in various user-friendly ways. For example, the Function mix calculation tool gives school boards an understanding of the additional costs of the 'Covenant on an Action Plan for the Teaching Profession in the Netherlands' (Convenant Actieplan Leerkracht van Nederland). In Plan Mirror, school boards are provided with highly detailed prognoses about: personnel turnover, changes to size or length of appointment, personnel influx, unfulfilled demand (regarding subjects in secondary education), and employer’s wage costs. By adjusting some of the settings, school boards can also use Plan Mirror for a simulation of the job education market that is tailored to their own specific situation.